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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: neolib who wrote (267568)1/8/2006 6:15:53 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) of 1577793
 
I see insufficient glue to hold Iraq together, so why pretend? The Shia have a large enough block that they become de facto rulers under democracy. They want a theocracy. Neither Sunni nor Kurd can live under that. Fundamentally the Kurds just want their own state. The only hope for a united, democratic Iraq is if most Kurds, most Sunnis and all the secular Shia hang together in a block which checkmates the religious Shia. Not a stable coalition IMO, so it will either not happen, or won't last long if it does initially work.

The current boundaries of Iraq were drawn up by the Brits in the early 20th century and date from the 7th century. Back in the 7th century, the Shia had splintered off from the Sunnis but had not made yet their migration to Iraq and Iran. That would not happen until late in the 7th century or early in the 8th century. The Kurds were mostly in the Zagros Mts in western Iran. So Iraq was mostly occupied by the Sunnis with a smattering of Greeks, Jews, Druze, Alawait and other small sects. The boundaries probably made sense back then. I am not sure they do today given the animosity among the three biggest ethnic groups.
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