The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: ahhaha who wrote (50566)	1/20/2006 11:12:49 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (1) of 110194

Your "bubble" requires falling prices, but you haven't given the cause of the falling prices. How about 1) falling real wages 2) Home prices above people's ability to pay for them 3) negative savings rate - a sign of stress 4) outsourcing of high paying jobs in favor of jobs at walmart 5) rising defaults - as sign of stress 6) rising bankruptcies - a sign of stress 7) GDP supported by cash out refis - not sustainable 8) lender dropping prices 10% or more overnight 9) rising inventories 10) declining sales 11) massive numbers of people opting for interest only and pay option loans as the only way to "afford" a house 12) declining credit standards - bad enough to even alarm the FED 13) Rampant speculation by the masses 14) Home prices 3+ standard deviations above norm 15) people like you ahhaha who deny the bubble in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary ahhaha point #15 is key. If everyone believed there was a bubble, prices just might keep rising. People like you help make the case. Mish

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