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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 261.90+0.4%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: robert b furman who wrote (17350)1/23/2006 12:32:02 PM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (3) of 25522
 
RE: "This guy just doesn't get it."

YES! YES! YES!

RE: "Capex has been constrained,for years now."

NO! There have been NO shortages of any consequence.

RE: "To sell 6 months before the top is to say forget the last 300%!"

NO! The "top" has gone the way of the dinosaur. Semis are a growth industry and growth industries just GROW, don't top. When a single lithography tool can cost $30-40 million, lumpiness is a given. Orders weighted in 1H 2006, should prompt real analysts to discuss shipping schedules and not equate lower 2H 2006 orders with the sky is falling.
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