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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: Galirayo who wrote (128950)2/2/2006 7:49:49 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (4) of 209892
 
That's a pretty good question with no easy answer. Since most wedges have throwovers they are almost all hounds for a spell, but realistically there should be a fairly quick reversal of the breakout/breakdown to avoid the hound.

A great example of a what I mean was seen recently in SINA where a big bullish declining wedge off the 2005 high broke down hard on Jan 24th....for all of 5 minutes! If that had stayed below the wedge and consolidated down there then I would be prepared to call a hound after a few days. but it regained the wedge with a "Diggler" and is now poised to follow through with a move into the 30's.

On the flipside, the $COMPQ popped up above the big multi-year wedge a few backs as I posted here:

ttrader.com

Since then it has been consolidating and remains in breakout mode. I am calling that a hound for now.

So in a nutshell with regards to your question, rather than %, its a function of time, structure and gut feel.
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