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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: bond_bubble who wrote (52643)2/4/2006 2:14:41 PM
From: UncleBigs  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
The strongest evidence of wage/income increases is the tax withholding numbers. They have skyrocketed in January. Yes some of that is Wall Street bonuses but they get bonuses every year. With income gains like that, I would expect retail to remain quite brisk for at least the next 3 months.

M-3 money supply is also skyrocketing. I see us much closer to crack up boom at this point than bust. Long term treasuries are the key to watch as well as mortgage activity. Both have flashed very early warning signs but still nothing dramatic.
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