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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 306.040.0%Dec 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (28637)2/16/2006 6:01:23 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (2) of 95640
 
Sarmad, the INTC "scene" of the past few weeks is truly bizarre. Subjectively, I would say it is one of the strangest that I have observed in a long, long time. The following table is a "shortcut" method of tracking, on a weekly basis, percent changes in the individual stock performance for the stocks in the SOX index. I say "shortcut" method because I simply add the weekly percentages without doing the correct math. The percent numbers are quite close in most instances however, and I simply use it to show "trends". The table is sorted by the sum of percent change over the 6 week period from 12/30/05 thru last Friday's close.

- 1/6/06 1/13/06 1/20/06 1/27/06 2/3/06 2/10/06
- WEEK WEEK WEEK WEEK WEEK WEEK
- PCT PCT PCT PCT PCT PCT
- PRC PRC PRC PRC PRC PRC
SYMBOL CHG CHG CHG CHG CHG CHG SUM
BRCM 11 9 -1 24 -3 2 42
AMD 10 1 5 12 -1 1 28
MU 9 0 -3 5 1 10 22
MRVL 9 5 -3 13 -6 1 20
NVLS 5 2 6 7 -4 0 17
TER 8 4 -1 11 -6 1 16
AMAT 8 4 -5 3 -5 7 12
XLNX 15 -1 -5 5 -5 1 11
MXIM 8 3 -3 9 -6 1 11
FSL.B 7 0 -3 0 -2 8 10
KLAC 5 0 -1 5 -4 2 7
ALTR 7 -4 -2 4 -2 4 7
IFX 13 -4 -7 4 -4 4 7
NSM 8 -2 0 4 -3 0 6
TSM 9 -4 -5 10 -5 0 5
LLTC 6 3 -4 2 -7 2 1
STM 10 -2 -5 2 -4 0 0
TXN 7 -4 -4 -5 -1 3 -3
INTC 6 -2 -16 0 -4 3 -14
TOTAL 8 1 -3 7 -4 2 13
SOX-X 8 1 -3 7 -4 2 13
COMPQX 5 0 -3 3 -2 0 3

Looking at the sum column, BRCM leads with approximately a 42 percent gain over the 6 week period while INTC lost about 14 percent - incredible! Another way of saying it - while the SOX was up 13 percent over the 6 week period - INTC was down about 14 percent.

The table below shows the proper mathematical percentage change for the above table - most values are quite close.

- 12/30/05 2/10/06
- CLOSE CLOSE
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE SUM
BRCM 47.15 69.01 46
AMD 30.60 40.10 31
MU 13.31 16.40 23
MRVL 56.09 67.15 20
NVLS 24.12 28.47 18
TER 14.57 16.97 16
AMAT 17.94 19.95 11
XLNX 25.21 27.71 10
MXIM 36.24 39.95 10
FSL.B 25.17 27.58 10
KLAC 49.33 52.96 7
ALTR 18.53 19.78 7
IFX 9.10 9.61 6
NSM 25.98 27.48 6
TSM 9.91 10.25 3
LLTC 36.07 36.21 0
STM 18.00 17.89 -1
TXN 32.07 30.91 -4
INTC 24.96 21.29 -15
TOTAL 514.35 579.67 13
SOX-X 479.49 540.39 13
COMPQX2205.32 2261.88 3
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