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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank
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To: David Bogdanoff who wrote (2646)9/18/1997 11:21:00 AM
From: LastShadow   of 120523
 
Bogdanoff Response:

The post about NSCP was not a general pick from the sea of equities. It is a specific prediction based on a fundamental change/improvement in the technology sector by one of the key players. The strength of NSCP plays an important role in the industry - more subtle than say MSFT or INTL, but far more pervasive in terms of the life cycle and number of companies affected by its corporate direction and near term strategy.

I looked at NSCP's past price performance, present price volume and fundamentals, subsector industry potential growth and then ran the net specifically against NSCP's price reaction to past major news of similar signifigance and technological area. Bottom line is that previous patterns indicate that accumulation should take place over the coming couple of months by funds that will increase the share price to possibly the near $60 range, with about 15% of that gain coming about 7 trading days prior to software release and and an additional 20% subsequent to the release. Technical Analysis is a little crude for this type of predictive look-ahead, as it cannot account for past news- and software release-related jumps. The net also takes into account the effect of general market conditions and forecasts, as well as industry-specific trends and historical patterns.

lastshadow
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