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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Paul Kern2/22/2006 7:06:23 AM
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*DJ US MBA Market Index Rises 0.8% To 578.5 From 574.1

*DJ US MBA Purchase Index Rises 4.3% To 408.7 From 391.7



DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Seasonally Adjusted Data


Seasonally Adjusted data for week ending 2/17/06

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 578.5 574.1 0.8 660.5 727.9
Purchase 408.7 391.7 4.3 473.7 417.8
Refi 1571.4 1636.7 -4.0 1773.9 2532.0
Fixed-Rate 429.8 423.6 1.5 488.5 528.8
ARM 3697.8 3729.3 -0.8 4268.2 4894.0

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 855.8 847.8 0.9 982.6 1091.7
Purchase 638.5 608.4 4.9 743.9 654.0
Refi 1743.5 1821.4 -4.3 1980.9 2871.2
Fixed-Rate 626.8 616.0 1.8 716.3 783.9
ARM 5552.4 5601.2 -0.9 6444.7 7402.7

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 116.2 117.8 -1.4 123.4 120.9
Purchase 80.3 82.0 -2.1 87.5 80.5
Refi 665.2 662.8 0.4 682.1 737.2
Fixed-Rate 101.4 103.1 -1.6 109.0 104.0
ARM 439.1 439.8 -0.2 438.7 486.6


DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Unadjusted Data


Unadjusted data for week ending 2/17/06

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 602.8 582.9 3.4 546.6 753.8
Purchase 436.5 401.9 8.6 366.3 448.0
Refi 1571.4 1636.7 -4.0 1596.5 2532.0
Fixed-Rate 447.8 430.1 4.1 404.2 547.6
ARM 3853.1 3786.6 1.8 3532.3 5068.0

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 891.6 860.7 3.6 813.7 1129.7
Purchase 681.9 624.3 9.2 575.3 701.4
Refi 1743.5 1821.4 -4.3 1782.8 2871.2
Fixed-Rate 653.0 625.4 4.4 593.2 811.2
ARM 5784.1 5686.4 1.7 5337.0 7660.3

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 121.4 119.8 1.3 101.3 126.3
Purchase 85.8 84.2 1.9 67.7 86.3
Refi 665.2 662.8 0.4 613.9 737.2
Fixed-Rate 106.0 104.8 1.1 89.5 108.7
ARM 458.9 447.3 2.6 360.0 508.5



DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Comparisons


Percent Change In Percent Change
No. Of Applications In Dollar Value Avg
Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Loan
($000)
Total 3.4 10.3 -20.0 1.7 8.3 -15.8 227.9
Purchase 8.6 19.2 -2.6 6.1 15.9 -2.4 222.9
Refi -4.0 -1.6 -37.9 -4.3 -1.6 -30.5 235.9
Fixed-Rate 4.1 10.8 -18.2 1.3 7.6 -14.3 182.7
ARM 1.8 9.1 -24.0 2.2 9.3 -17.7 337.7


Conventional 3.6 9.6 -20.8 1.8 7.9 -16.1 236.1
Purchase 9.2 18.5 -2.4 6.5 15.8 -2.2 231.5
Refi -4.3 -2.2 -39.0 -4.6 -2.1 -31.0 243.3
Fixed-Rate 4.4 10.1 -19.2 1.4 7.0 -14.7 188.9
ARM 1.7 8.4 -24.2 2.2 9.1 -17.9 345.1


Government 1.3 19.9 -3.5 0.1 17.5 -8.7 127.7
Purchase 1.9 26.7 -0.1 -1.5 18.5 -6.0 125.9
Refi 0.4 8.4 -9.4 3.2 15.8 -13.3 131.2
Fixed-Rate 1.1 18.5 -2.1 -0.9 16.8 -7.7 118.7
ARM 2.6 27.5 -9.5 3.4 20.0 -11.6 172.9


DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Current Interest Rates


Change in Contract Rate (bps)
Effective Total Contract 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year
Rate Points Rate Ago Ago Ago
30-Year Fixed 6.47 1.23 6.22 -3 18 55
15-Year Fixed 6.18 1.21 5.87 -4 21 68
7-Year Balloon 6.28 1.36 5.94 -1 12 57
5-Year Balloon 6.57 1.35 6.23 -3 12 51
ARM, 1-Yr Tsy 5.85 0.97 5.60 9 16 142
FHA 203 (b) 6.31 0.89 6.16 29 53 39
All rates except FHA 203(b) are for 80% loan-to-value mortgage.


(END) Dow Jones Newswires

02-22-06 0700ET

Copyright (c) 2006 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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