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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers

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To: koan who wrote (7089)	2/25/2006 1:38:52 AM
From: E. Charters	Read Replies (1) of 78416

Accurate weather prediction to 10 days out, which could be done by ganged computers in a WAN, in a stolen cycle program, would save people billions of dollars in hurricane damage, tornado damage, crop damage and other business losses. It has been known for 50 years that all it takes to predict weather accurately long range is taking into account millions of micro factors and projecting them scientifically forward. The butterfly effect, that says weather is a highly unstable chaotic system is nonsense. It takes so much time for weather to develop over thousands of miles, that we can see it is exactly the opposite. It is very stable and very predictable. Weather just has far more factors than previous computing horsepower could contemplate. In other words, weather is like a disordered Mongol horde, with each warrior individually attacking some distant point from 1000's of directions. When they all get to one point, there is no telling what will happen. But if you could follow each warrior on his horse as he negotiated similar terrain, then you could predict the final formation and disposition a week later. Weather is just a bunch of marbles bouncing off walls. The paths can all be computed, like ray tracing. The formulae are simple. It just takes a lot of computers. The really hard thing is to get a million people to see that and co-operate on such a mundane project. They will get behind little green men sending them messages.. with no earthly benefit. But knowing whether to wear galoshes to the office next week, who cares? Ignorance and small mindedness is catching. Ten university students could write the program in 6 months. The formulae are already known and widely distributed. They could deploy and debug it in another six months. The repercussions could benefit man like no other human project since women took up eating apples. One of the odd things is the system that feeds the data back to central, is that it needs massive redundancy (30% possibly) and dummy systems (dummy runs). Some people's data needs to be completely sham! Strange. Like using random numbers to do statistics. EC<:-}

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