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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 214.11+3.9%3:59 PM EST

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To: AK2004 who wrote (189522)3/13/2006 1:44:07 PM
From: Sarmad Y. HermizRead Replies (4) of 275872
 
The issue that needs addressing is the question of what is the actual ratio of Intel prices relative to AMD prices. I see posts here talking of the AMD ASP of $100 vs Intel ASP of $150 as though that means Intel's prices are 50% higher (like-for-like), and therefor Intel needs to reduce its prices by 30 0r 40% to be below AMD. That is just plain nonsense. So what is needed is some sense of how much will Intel need to reduce prices to sell all of its chips ? In my opinion 5-10% across the board will be more than enough. But that is just a guess at this time.

Can Intel afford a 10% reduction if it clears out its inventory and gives it good capacity utilization ? I think so. And it is already priced into the guidance and INTC stock price.

The next question is whether AMD will accept a static or slightly reduced market share, or whether it will under-cut, daring Intel to drop prices another 10%, etc.... until they are both in the red ? I suppose this latter scenario is what is causing the sell-off.
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