Hello CB, <<Re: nukes. Oh, I can't believe you can't tell the difference between Iran and India when it comes to nukes>>
... following up on a point until the point is perhaps more clear. It did not take long.
My take on the Iranian nuke desires and the Indian nuke bomb is straightforward and obvious, that the nuke bombs make their owners feel safer, just in case.
Historically, in the case of India, the apparent encouragement for possession is China and Pakistan; in the case of China, USA and Russia and Britain; and in the case of Iran, the USA, etc.
History is history.
Fact is, right now there are very few organized national military forces killing civilians, including 3 year olds, exhibit #1 news.yahoo.com
... and there are very few national leaders advocating war, exhibit #2 news.yahoo.com
... and there are only a very few countries believing that war is an exercise in prevention without provocation and without clear and present danger.
So here we are, trying to understand why Iran feels the need for nukes. If you were Iranian leader, responsible for your people for the long haul, what would you do, even if for just in case?
Some things just are.
My guess, anything done to Iran in the way of invasion ala Iraq will only encourage more nuke activities around the world.
I figure Israel is not strong enough to try, never mind achieve success to prevent Iran from joining the nuke club, unless it uses the nuke as prevention - a slippery slope.
I have a feeling that the US will have to apply prevention to Iran as it had claimed to do in Iraq.
I doubt the US will willingly face proliferation by minor states all across the globe starting with Iran, because Iran is a different calibre of entity than N.Korea. Iran has true money, in the form of black gold, and its faith is more ancient than the version practiced in N.Korea.
Iran will of course be able to get the necessary help from a bunch of pools of talent, and the recent move to ease nuke non-proliferation by US with India probably does not encourage Pakistan to play according to any rules except its own rule.
I would imagine Pentagon-inspired China encirclement, mark II, probably will not help matters.
I am guessing, but figure Condi Rice-inspired machinations against Putin/Russia is not received kindly.
We are, I believe, at one of the very few critical junctures in history, and we are simply marking time.
The discussion on possibilities and outcomes does not require invocation of right and wrong, only logic.
Recommendation: aggregate gold.
Chugs, J |
