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Politics : FREE AMERICA
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To: Bill who wrote (1127)3/31/2006 7:19:05 AM
From: michael97123  Read Replies (1) of 14758
 
Tom Friedman in todays NYTimes calls the current iraq situation 5 minutes to midnite. He reports on an iraqi blogger who writes on andrew sullivans website. This blogger had been an optimist. Bagdad is falling apart. The islamo-nihilists (friedmans term) started a process of brutality toward shiaa that is now being paid back by shiaa in spades. The streets of bagdad are full of folks in uniform and no one knows until its too late whether they are shiaa militia, sunni thugs, soldiers, police or just criminals. No one is safe.
Dont believe the stuff from the admin about the south and north being relatively safe means too much. Iraq is like humpty dumpty and bagdad is its center and where both shiaa and sunni live. If the city continues into chaos, the country of iraq is over. Three states--my addition.
The only thing Friedman sees that can stop the bleeding is the formation of a govt of national unity that has the support of all groups. But i sense he has little hope as do I. So Vandelay--you can still call what will happen next a victory if it makes you feel good, and i guess two benign states of the three at least gives us something but in my mind this is terrible setback for US FP. Now we will have two palestines to deal with if we are lucky enough to avoid the taliban solution.
Thousands will die in a civil war or a war between the three states. Shiaa and Kurds will land grab and who can blame them. Historians will conclude I am coming to believe that the loss of a united iraq will not be a good thing and any hope of success was squandered by Rummy & Co. Neocons will look worse and what follows in the US could be another post vietnam syndrome which will handcuff us in dealing with next gens threats.
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