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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 231.83+1.7%Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: pgerassi who wrote (191544)4/1/2006 6:49:36 AM
From: BUGGI-WORead Replies (2) of 275872
 
@Pete - Revs.
Opteron is a big potential revenue gainer, thats clear. The
momentum is strong, but I said it already that I'm missing
more 1-2P SKUs and Workstations. Here are lying real poss.
for AMD to gain MASSIVE volume from Intel. When I think about
that and when I think about the reached level at 4P I'm a
little cautious when it comes to prognosis where AMDs
momentum will be last "forever", so I'm not ruling 70% out,
but I don't calculate with that. The more crucial thing
should be the overall market. We heard some comments that
Q1 wasn't that strong - surprise Intel guided down big-time,
but whats going on at AMD? I could easily paint a picture,
where we are also "loosing" 100Mio. on the desktop side, some
volume on notebooks and gain a little bit on Server-rev - so
overall it would still be net negativ QoQ. For me its always
a little bit to easy to write existing gains from prior
quarters into the future. Its not that easy, but I will not
complain, if this plays out in this way. BTW: bought again
40$ calls on Thursday and Fryday - posted Real-Time on WO.

BUGGI
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