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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: regli who wrote (57353)4/3/2006 8:54:22 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
Funny you should post that. I actually think there's a pretty good argument for conditions now being similar to 1936. Just add 70 years to the 1930s cycle and you see pretty similar behavior. Similar moves in gold stocks as measured by $HUI as well. I think we've seen the reflationary effort you refer to, now the question is how bad the next leg of the deflationary bust will be.

Prolonged bear lasted until 1942 - and I think a similar five year period could lay dead ahead for us.

BC
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