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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Paul Kern4/12/2006 7:03:45 AM
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*DJ US MBA Market Index Falls 5.5% To 579.4 From 612.8

*DJ US MBA Purchase Index Falls 4.7% To 417.7 From 438.2

*DJ US MBA Refinancing Index Falls 6.6% To 1532.4 Vs 1640.8

DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Seasonally Adjusted Data


Seasonally Adjusted data for week ending 4/7/06

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 579.4 612.8 -5.5 574.4 683.6
Purchase 417.7 438.2 -4.7 403.0 474.5
Refi 1532.4 1640.8 -6.6 1583.6 1899.6
Fixed-Rate 433.8 459.5 -5.6 428.8 460.1
ARM 3633.3 3828.5 -5.1 3626.8 5360.7

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 854.9 900.3 -5.0 845.2 1020.9
Purchase 648.0 675.7 -4.1 625.1 745.5
Refi 1708.7 1825.1 -6.4 1752.3 2140.8
Fixed-Rate 629.7 663.0 -5.0 622.5 674.5
ARM 5472.1 5765.9 -5.1 5413.1 8123.3

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 120.0 133.6 -10.2 122.8 120.5
Purchase 88.7 98.8 -10.2 85.6 87.3
Refi 603.3 669.7 -9.9 695.2 627.7
Fixed-Rate 107.0 120.2 -11.0 106.0 102.9
ARM 404.8 427.3 -5.3 489.3 503.7



DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Unadjusted Data


Unadjusted data for week ending 4/7/06

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 623.5 656.8 -5.1 616.4 731.2
Purchase 467.4 487.9 -4.2 450.3 530.4
Refi 1532.4 1640.8 -6.6 1583.6 1899.6
Fixed-Rate 466.8 492.5 -5.2 460.2 492.2
ARM 3910.1 4103.4 -4.7 3892.0 5734.3

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 919.3 964.1 -4.6 906.6 1091.4
Purchase 725.1 752.3 -3.6 698.5 833.3
Refi 1708.7 1825.1 -6.4 1752.3 2140.8
Fixed-Rate 677.2 710.0 -4.6 667.7 721.1
ARM 5884.6 6175.0 -4.7 5806.0 8684.1

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 130.3 144.4 -9.8 132.6 130.2
Purchase 99.2 109.9 -9.7 95.6 97.6
Refi 603.3 669.7 -9.9 695.2 627.7
Fixed-Rate 116.2 129.9 -10.5 114.5 111.1
ARM 439.3 461.9 -4.9 528.2 544.0



DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Comparisons


Percent Change In Percent Change
No. Of Applications In Dollar Value Avg
Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Loan
($000)
Total -5.1 1.2 -14.7 -5.6 2.1 -6.6 237.6
Purchase -4.2 3.8 -11.9 -4.3 4.3 -8.0 233.7
Refi -6.6 -3.2 -19.3 -7.8 -1.5 -4.3 244.6
Fixed-Rate -5.2 1.4 -5.2 -5.7 1.7 9.5 191.4
ARM -4.7 0.5 -31.8 -5.5 2.6 -22.1 353.0


Conventional -4.6 1.4 -15.5 -5.3 1.9 -7.0 246.2
Purchase -3.6 3.8 -12.7 -3.8 4.1 -8.3 243.3
Refi -6.4 -2.5 -19.9 -7.6 -1.5 -4.7 251.1
Fixed-Rate -4.6 1.4 -5.8 -5.2 1.3 9.7 198.2
ARM -4.7 1.4 -32.0 -5.3 2.7 -22.4 359.4


Government -9.8 -1.7 0.5 -12.1 5.2 2.4 136.9
Purchase -9.8 3.7 2.2 -12.0 9.0 -0.4 133.1
Refi -9.9 -13.2 -3.5 -12.1 -2.5 9.2 146.7
Fixed-Rate -10.6 1.5 4.9 -12.4 7.2 6.0 125.7
ARM -4.9 -16.8 -19.0 -10.9 -1.4 -8.9 201.8



DJ US MBA Mortgage Survey Table Of Current Interest Rates


Change in Contract Rate (bps)
Effective Total Contract 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year
Rate Points Rate Ago Ago Ago
30-Year Fixed 6.74 1.20 6.50 1 9 55
15-Year Fixed 6.46 1.16 6.17 2 11 66
7-Year Balloon 6.67 1.42 6.32 8 16 69
5-Year Balloon 6.92 1.32 6.59 4 18 75
ARM, 1-Yr Tsy 6.18 0.84 5.97 1 32 169
FHA 203 (b) 6.60 0.94 6.44 2 11 35
All rates except FHA 203(b) are for 80% loan-to-value mortgage.


(END) Dow Jones Newswires

04-12-06 0700ET

Copyright (c) 2006 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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