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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI)

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To: Defrocked who wrote (2339)9/20/1997 12:26:00 PM
From: Cary Salsberg   of 25960
 
Thread,

I have no position in CYMI and I have not been reading this thread, so please bear with me.

A major brokerage firm predicts (9/8/97) the following number of DUV steppers for fiscal years ending 3/98 through 3/02:

488, 570, 531, 795, 951.

If CYMI provides 100% of the lasers for these DUV steppers and revenue is $425K per laser, revenues for these years will be:

$207.4M, $242.25M, $225.675M, $337.875M, $404.175M.

CYMI has 28.3M shares outstanding. If a 15% after tax profit margin is projected (current TTM profit margin from Yahoo profile is 12.6%),
the EPS for these years will be:

$1.10, $1.28, $1.20, $1.79, $2.14.

Please comment on the appropriate price to discount this earnings stream and the model which generated the stream.

Thank you,

Cary
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