SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : News Links and Chart Links
SPXL 212.96+0.3%Nov 7 4:00 PM EST

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Les H who wrote (13408)4/29/2006 11:06:40 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 29594
 

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow green 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow green 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red yellow 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red yellow 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green yellow 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green yellow 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow red 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow red 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow green 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green yellow 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green yellow 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow red 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red red 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red red 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green green 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green green 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow green 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow green 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red yellow 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red yellow 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 22 green green yellow 1177 + 81 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 23 yellow green yellow 1210 + 33 1214 + 37 1171 - 6 43
Jan 21, 05 red yellow red 1168 - 42 1218 + 8 1168 - 42 50
Feb 23 green yellow red 1191 + 23 1212 + 44 1164 - 4 48
Mar 22 yellow red red 1172 - 19 1229 + 38 1169 - 22 60
Apr 20 red red red 1137 - 35 1192 + 20 1136 - 36 56
May 16 green green green 1173 + 36 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 yellow green green 1198 + 26 1209 + 36 1160 - 13 49
Jul 6 red yellow green 1195 - 3 1219 + 21 1188 - 10 31
Aug 9 green yellow green 1231 + 36 1246 + 51 1183 - 12 63
Sep 9 yellow red yellow 1205 - 39 1246 + 15 1201 - 30 45
Oct 13 red red yellow 1177 - 28 1242 + 37 1168 - 37 74
Nov 7 green green yellow 1223 + 46 1225 + 48 1170 - 7 55
Dec 5 yellow green yellow 1262 + 39 1271 + 48 1215 - 8 56
Dec 30 red yellow red 1246 - 16 1283 + 29 1246 - 16 45
Jan 25, 06 green yellow red 1265 + 11 1295 + 41 1245 - 1 42
Feb 22 yellow red red 1293 + 28 1294 + 29 1253 - 12 41
Mar 17 red red red 1307 - 14 1310 + 17 1268 - 25 42
Apr 12 green green green 1288 - 19 1314 + 7 1282 - 25 32
May 9 yellow green green 1310 + 22 1318 + 30 1281 - 7 37
Jun 2 red yellow green
Jun 29 green yellow green
Jul 25 yellow red yellow
Aug 18 red red yellow
Sep 12 green green yellow
Oct 5 yellow green yellow
Oct 27 red yellow red

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 25-29, 04 11 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 9)
Jan 17-21, 05 23 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 6)
Apr 18-22, 05 56 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 9)
Jul 5-11, 05 11 weeks high 1219 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 5)
Sep 20-26, 05 11 weeks flat 1216 next high 1271 on Nov 23 (week 9)
Jul 22-28, 05 13 weeks high 1245 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 1)
Oct 7-13, 05 24 weeks trough low 1168 next high 1273 on Dec 6 (week 8)
Dec 23-29, 05 11 weeks high 1254 next high 1311 on Mar 21 (week 11)
Mar 17-23, 06 11 weeks high 1305 next high 1318 on Apr 20 (week 4)
Jun 2- 8, 06 11 weeks trough
Aug 18-24, 06 11 weeks
Nov 3- 9, 06 11 weeks trough

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
Oct 13, 05 Dow 10156 length 25 weeks
sample size 14 Spring low sample 7 Fall low sample 7
total 366 weeks total 178 weeks total 188 weeks
average 26.1 weeks average 25.4 weeks average 26.9 weeks
st dev 5.4 weeks st dev 5.8 weeks st dev 4.9 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Mar 2, 06 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Apr 13, 06 26 weeks average length in Spring low samples
Jun 8, 06 34 weeks average length in Spring low samples for 3-06 Bull Mkt

source of dates

timeanddate.com
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext