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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 478.53-1.0%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: Joan Osland Graffius who wrote (3258)9/22/1997 8:56:00 AM
From: Arik T.G.   of 74651
 
Joan,

I believe this thread is the most suitable for the continuation of discussing MSFT, though I posted here little.
Here's my first post on this thread:
techstocks.com
I think it was on the same day, or the next, that MSFT barely topped
150, and closed lower, making it's all time high it has failed to top since.
You've answered that post. click next in that link.

On another thread you mentioned that for the time being you won't be dealing with any stocks that require constant monitoring.
It is my strong conviction that MSFT is one stock that needs a close watch for the 5-10 coming trading days.
If it closes below 131, or trades below 130 in any of these days, I would strongly suggest buying OOM puts, as I maintain my prediction from above link that this would cause MSFT to close the gap @100.

Mr. Paul Ellan sold over $500M last month at 136 or higher, around 5% of his total holdings in the co.
IMO If MSFT manages to rech $140 again then it's a buy.
I don't think that would happen.

<< From Fridays close my expectations for Microsoft's increase in asset value for the next 6 to 12 months is around 10%.>>
By your own prediction you should've bailed out at 150, and get back next year.
There is no way on earth MSFT would trade 130-140 in the next 6 months. It would have to decide quite soon which way it would turn.
I already own Oct puts, which makes my opinion on the next leg's direction clear.

Best regards
ATG
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