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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 208.85+2.8%10:29 AM EST

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To: dougSF30 who wrote (197232)5/17/2006 9:20:38 AM
From: TechieGuy-altRead Replies (1) of 275872
 
The curve is steep.

:) I meant to say (completely): "It all depends on the flatness or steepness of the pricing curve that the market will support."!

Obviously Intel will make it steep. They may have been behind in tech for the last 3 years- but I doubt that their MBA types are that stupid!

But I believe that the market environment has changed. The market may not support the steepness that Intel may wish to impose on it.

Remember, that Intel always made the majority of their profits from servers- specially high end servers. I don't see how Opteron can loose out in servers- specially the high performance of 2S/4S servers where they have been able to scale so well and they will probably still keep and advantage.

(Dell)low end servers are still mostly Netburst and they'll just transition to NGA- no AMD loss there.

Selling (say) 10% of their total volumes in the top 2 or 3 bins may not be enough to support the steepness of the curve that Intel wants to impose on AMD/market. It all depends on how much volume Intel an move to the advantaged speed bins and how much price premium the market supports for those bins.

Unless you know the shipping mix- there is no way to say game over or not for AMD (yet).

TG
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