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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers

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To: LLCF who wrote (11583)	5/19/2006 10:29:26 AM
From: LoneClone	Read Replies (1) of 78416

Emergent Phenomena and Complexity Vince Darley Division of Applied Sciences Harvard University 33 Oxford Street, Cambridge MA 02138 e-mail: vince@das.harvard.edu 15th March, 1994 Abstract: I seek to define rigorously the concept of an emergent phenomenon in a complex system, together with its implications for explanation, understanding and prediction in such systems. I argue that in a certain fundamental sense, emergent systems are those in which even perfect knowledge and understanding may give us no predictive information. In them the optimal means of prediction is simulation. I investigate the consequences of this for certain decidability and complexity issues, and then explain why these limitations do not preclude all means of doing interesting science in such systems. I touch upon some recent incorporation of this work into the investigation of self-organised criticalities. santafe.edu ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

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