The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: GST who wrote (61468)	5/19/2006 2:15:30 PM
From: UncleBigs	Read Replies (2) of 110194

A real estate crash to me means in excess of 30% and that is exactly what I think will happen over the next 18 months to 2 years. I think at best we have a Japan style 15 yr. bleed. That's 30% in nominal terms. The only question to me is how low rates can go in the next so called reflation cycle and whether the FCB's will be as accomodative the second time around. This is like no other time in history. To compare now vs. past real estate cycles is useless. There is no other time in history where our country has been so economically vulnerable and that includes the great depression.

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