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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 223.95+1.7%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: The Ox who wrote (19027)5/22/2006 3:01:01 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (3) of 25522
 
Ox, if you mentally extrapolate SEMI bookings, it looks like just a few months till a temporary peak. If the big money does that, then they won't buy the stocks now. The next equipment bookings trough will probably be higher than the last one [again extrapolating the trend].

chart
briefcase.yahoo.com
open SEMIcharts folder
then SEMIequipment_btb.gif

That leads me to conclude that stock price swings are becoming smaller and therefore much less profitable - especially since timing is now more difficult than it was when bookings were V-shaped.

PS: KLAC down 10%
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