"If pushed, Nir Rosen believes that if America withdraws, the cork will blow off. The Shiite will attempt to wipe Iraq clean of Sunnis -- and neighboring nation Sunnis will pour into Iraq, possibly creating a major regional conflagration that can't be easily contained."
Sadly, I think the cork is going to blow off no matter what anyone does. The big question is, do we want American troops in the middle of the corkless conflict? I can't answer that. As I see it, when Iraq really devolves, the fighting will be massive- "enemies" will be impossible to spot, because it's a civil war everyone is an enemy of someone. I know that American troops are not prepared for such a war- no one is. On the other hand, if we leave, the world blames us for the blood bath, and on the other other hand, if we stay we get to be part of the blood bath. The stupidity of the US going in to Iraq was manifest a long time ago, and now we're stuck, and we're stuck (imo) in a very bad place. Afghanistan looks to be heating up as well. |