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Technology Stocks : Windows Vista

MSFT 485.49

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3:59 PM EST

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To: sammy™ -_- who wrote (104)	6/1/2006 3:15:00 PM
From: sammy™ -_-	Read Replies (1) of 1939

A stock market crash, a global depression, and a world war within the next twenty years. Is Possible, look back in the late 1920's. There are two great economic bubbles in the world right now; American consumer spending, and Chinese capital spending. Americans are consuming more than their savings with a large chunk of the difference coming from Chinese funds flows, and Chinese industrialists are producing more goods than their own people are willing or able to buy, with American consumers making up most of the difference, using what amounts to vendor financing. These are massive imbalances. American debts can't be satisfied through foreseeable economic means, which implies that they somehow will be liquidated in the political arena. End result is a 1930s-style Global Depression, it would hit China harder than almost any other major country in the world, just as the 1930s hit Germany the hardest. This would likely cause China to pursue desperate economic and political measures to curtail the resulting social unrest. When Good Countries Go Bad when a turn for the worse if and when the global economy heads south.

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