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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: michael97123 who wrote (188644)	6/7/2006 10:07:11 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Regional war against Iran and shiaa part of iraq? It could develop into that. What's motivating the various interests in the region? Think about the major motivators are for the leaders in Iran. Ahmadinejad and his "Supreme Guide", Khamenei, have something to prove, and if they don't prove it, they both lose face. And consequently, they lose power to the moderate reformers in Iran. Both Khamenei and Ahmadinejad want to control Karbala and Najaf. In addition, they want to control Samarra, where the "Mahdist" adherents believe the Mahdi disappeared, and some believe is lies in dormancy in a cave, awaiting his awakening which will then beckon in the final days and the re-appearance of Isa (Jesus). news.bbc.co.uk washingtonpost.com shianews.com These locations are TERRIBLY IMPORTANT to the Iranians religious leaders who are seeking to re-entrench their authority and re-envigorate their Islamic State. And of course, controlling one of the largest repositories of crude oil provides them a potent economic weapon/resource from which to finance their agenda. So what can the Sunni Muslims do in the face of this Iranian agenda? They will have to unite to confront it, of course. Wasn't this the reason that most Arab states provided financial and physical support to Saddam when he waged war against Iran? They perceived the threat that militant Shi'ism presented to their particular interpretation of the Islamic faith. It threatened the Wahabbists in Saudi Arabia who control Mecca and Medina and set the tone of Islamic beliefs from there. Can they guarantee that the Shi'ites would stop with the Iraqi holy sites and not cast their eyes upon controlling Mecca and Medina as well? This is potentially far more serious than your scenario portends. Certainly while Ahmadinejad and and Muqtada Al-Sadr are factored into the mix. Hawk

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