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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers

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To: Gib Bogle who wrote (13126)6/10/2006 11:02:30 PM
From: emrs1  Read Replies (3) of 78419
 
Hi Gib (and Eric),

Humour me.

I understand and appreciate the solution you are both describing.

However, what is unclear to me is, once I KNOW that door 2 (for example) does not conceal a Caddy, why I would continue to rely on a decision tree that is predicated on door 2 having a 1/3 chance of hiding a Caddy. Why don't I reevaluate at this point and say that based on new information it now seems the Caddy has a 50-50 chance of being behind 1 and 3 (and zero of being behind door 2)?

cheers, jim
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