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Gold/Mining/Energy : Blue Chip Gold Stocks HM, NEM, ASA, ABX, PDG

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From: Wade6/17/2006 8:50:44 PM
   of 48092
 
Are we at the bottom?

321gold.com

Alphier's method
Richard Russell snippet
Dow Theory Letters
Jun 16, 2006

Extracted from the Jun 15, 2006 edition of Richard's Remarks

Back in the '70s I corresponded with a brilliant analyst named James Alphier. James worked on a market method which he called "prolonged liquidation." Alphier's work is pretty much forgotten today, but he discovered a system for identifying major market bottoms. This is how Alphier's method works. Each week count how many days the S&P closed up and how many days it closed down. If there is a day that the index is exactly unchanged, give that day the sign of the previous day. Forget about holidays or any day in which the market is closed. Each week go back over the past 14 weeks and count how many total days are up and how many are down. If, in the past 14 weeks there are at least 17 more down days than up days, you have a major bottom and a buy signal.

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