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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (64058)6/19/2006 3:06:13 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
Seems there is no way around a similar percentage decline like the last downturn taking 3-4 years (unless bondholders buy Mish's deflation argument, Bernake drop fed funds back to 1% and fixed rate mortgage drop back to 5% again). The most speculative, overbuilt submarkets take a bigger plunge than any drop in modern times, even the oil patch bust of the mid 80's. High end condos in FL and Vegas could be 60%+ losers from the top..
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