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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (57300)7/6/2006 12:24:16 PM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
BZH options:

At 11:58, Schwab is showing me:

$44.75 for BZH equity, (penny spread)

$4.60 bid for the Nov $45 call

$4.20 bid for the Nov $45 put.

So buy equity sell the call would require $44.75 less $4.60 or $40.15. This would be called selling a put synthetically.

Alternatively, selling the put directly would yield $4.20. If the option was exercised against you, you would buy the stock at $45, but have the option premium, and end up long the stock with a cost basis of $45 less $4.20 or $40.80. So correct a difference of $40.80 less $40.15 or $0.65 which is roughly 15%.

What to do?? Enter a closed/arbitrage, no risk position. Buy the put and sell the put. How do you do that???

Buy the put for $4.30 (ask), buy the stock for $44.75, and sell the call for $4.60. If the stock closes above $45, it will be called away at $45. You keep the call premium of $4.60 and a capital gain of $0.25 for $4.85 less the put premium of $4.30 for an $0.55 gain or about 1.2% (2.9% annually) in five months. If the stock closes below $45 you keep the call premium of $4.60, exercise the put at $50 for a $0.25 capital gain and lose the put premium. Same position as before.

So there it is. 1.2% sitting there RISK FREE . 1.2% is nothing to write home about, but it is risk free. If you are unsure about what to do elsewhere and have some cash to invest, then it is a great move because it is RISK FREE .

I love options. You should learn to do the same. Everyone should. Our markets would be much more liquid and stable if everyone participated. It is a patriotic thing to do. I am quite serious when I say that. Little old ladies can do better with option hedged positions in equities than money markets, and with little additional risk.

Why does this BZH arbitrage opportunity exist??? I can only guess. Stuff happens. After a while, people like you, guided by Adam Smith's wonderful invisible hand notice and take a position, making the imbalance disappear and earning (quite deservedly) a buck in the process.
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