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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: sitkapacific who wrote (134303)7/13/2006 4:15:25 PM
From: John McCarthy  Read Replies (1) of 209892
 
Hi Brian

>>>>>>>>>
That may not amount to much outside of my own little world, but for me its enough to wait for the fall to re-enter the sector. After that final wave down I agree it will probably be on to new highs.
>>>>>>>>>

The *wave* stuff is over my head - but if I hear you
correctly your current thinking is that:

(a) we are going down from here, and,
(b) at some point in the autumn (Sept/Oct/Nov) we
would head back north .....

Is the above a *fair* characterization of what your
thinking?

the reason for my post is that I have more or less
used the 15/30 year month charts to look at the historical
seasonalization of gold prices ....

and they would *track* with your thinking ....

but what bothers me is that the March and April ACTUALS
for this year rally VIOLATED the historical 15 yr/ and
30 yr charts .....

and I am concerned that (this year) - at least from
a seasonality basis - we are in a brave new world and
I don't know whats up and whats down.

just my dumb ass 1 cent thoughts

(I can link you those charts if you want to see them -
just have to find them)

regards,
John McCarthy
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