Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking Message Board

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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking

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To: Drygulch Dan who wrote (5952)	7/22/2006 2:29:31 PM
From: Benny-Rubin	Read Replies (2) of 26116

Dan, great questions. The Saharan dust excuse is just that. "AN EXCUSE" 26N is way too far north for anything to develop off Africa.Yes there are dust storms and some of that dust does filter into the sub tropical jet stream which will create a kind of haze which can keep some of the water temps from heating up for a short period.But thats "sub tropical" Not tropical. No The Cape Verde season which begins Aug 1st will be (in my opinion) very active into mid October due to the fact that upper level winds are now very light with conditions being perfect.Many low pressure systems will move off Africa at around 7N - 14N which will form TD's and into the monster cape verde hurricanes. Now remember last year at this time we already had the 6th named storm.Most of them formed around the Caribiean sea which unlike this year had very little wind sheer hence the early season. Now on a good note, these cape verde storms may just follow the bermuda high and trace off the NC shore into the open north atlantic.Yes some of the lower lattitude hurricanes may sneak past and end up blasting the Caribiean islands. Our best bet and savior is the bermuda high. Thats our friend, our protection.

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