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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: regli who wrote (53767)7/23/2006 11:44:57 PM
From: mishedlo   of 116555
 
Independent Thought
hussman.net
John P. Hussman, Ph.D.

It continues to astonish me how much power investors appear to ascribe to the Federal Reserve. The institution can do nothing but purchase debt (mainly U.S. Treasuries) and pay for it by creating bank reserves, or sell debt and receive payment by reducing bank reserves. When you realize that the total volume of bank lending has virtually no link at all to bank reserves (since the majority of monetary aggregates other than checking accounts have had zero reserve requirements since the early 1990's), and that foreign purchases of U.S. Treasuries have swamped Fed activity in Treasuries three-to-six times over in recent years, this whole focus on every word, syllable, and inflection from the Federal Reserve is just preposterous.

As Bill Hester walks around the office saying, “the markets have lost the ability to think for themselves.”

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