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Technology Stocks : XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. (XMSR)

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To: Bill Keating who wrote (2711)7/24/2006 10:58:26 AM
From: sixty2nds   of 3386
 
09:48 Previews on XMSR and SIRI: Remain Cautious on Both Stocks - AmTech

AmTech notes that XMSR reports this Thursday and SIRI reports next Tuesday. Declining year-year growth in retail net adds appears to have turned negative this quarter. The impact of FCC inquiries on the miss for XMSR and current status will be important for both stocks. SIRI filed an 8-k last week indicating certain employees instructed suppliers to continue production of non-compliant radios. It appears SIRI decided to ignore the FCC until after Father's Day. Firm lowers their ests for both cos, with a more aggressive cut for XMSR and only slightly for SIRI. Firm expects XMSR will guide-down. Depending on impact of FCC compliance issues, SIRI may either reiterate guidance or temper expectations somewhat. As mix shifts from retail to OEM firm would like to see more disclosure from SIRI, who is very aggressive in counting subs. Typically 15-months or more before OEM promotions choose to become self-paying. SIRI does not disclose how many subs are in promotional periods or the rate of conversion into paying subs.
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