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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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From: stockalot7/24/2006 4:45:39 PM
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Yes indeed Brinker may have been # 1 at some point on some criteria. With a score or two of newsletters involved in timing the market that the article this morning again explains is a losers game, and many categories it would seem at some point you would have to win something.

It just looks pretty fishy.

1) Brinker changed the claims on his site to a more nebulous "long term marketiming" which I doubt is a true category of Hulbert's rating.

2) I believe he is using snippets from a marketwatch article or another of Hulbert's writings not "ratings" in which he discussed Brinker's poor model portfolio performance and explained it would have been better if his timing were applied to the broad indexes.

3) Brinker chose to write that "marketimer is CURRENTLY rated # 1 in long term marketiming by Hulbert Financial Digest. Again that seems to be a very nebulous category. The much more specific 5, 10 and 15 yr categories were dropped on his website. Sounds fishy, especially in light of the fact that some have looked at the "CURRENT" Hulbert Financial digest and Brinker is rated no higher than third.

4) We have seen that Brinker fibs a lot. Math and Dija, both very active posters who generally are favorable to Brinker and indeed Dija seemed to think it was nigh on to impossible to catch Brinker lying (Math never made such a mistake), have not disputed the many times Brinker has shaded the truth to make himself look better.

5) On his website there is a link to Timer's Digest, but no link to "Hulbert's Financial Digest", the more well known of the two. When I go to Timers' digest it seems its mostly about trying to manage your money for you. Why no link to Hulbert's if he is rated as he says he is?

6) The edited claims about applying his methodology of timing to the broad index sounds a lot like something I read in which Hulbert was talking about Brinker's portfolios doing poorly in comparison to the broad market. If that is the case then all of that claim seems subject to great scrutiny.

The truth will come out I'm sure.
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