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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: Math Junkie who wrote (22487)7/25/2006 9:07:55 AM
From: shres  Read Replies (3) of 42834
 
"You know, this discussion of Brinker allegedly having poor model portfolio performance per Hulbert reminds me of a flaw in Hulbert's methodology that we discussed previously on Yahoo, and that is that Hulbert averages Brinker's half-bonds portfolio in with the two equity portfolios."

Of course you are absolutely right Math.

Willy, Hunny and Kirk are all now fully aware that Hulbert Financial Digest ranks Bob Brinker's Marketimer number one for long-term stock market timing through January 31, 2006.

But do they acknowledge Brinker's outstanding rating? No, in fact Kirk won't even post it, he sends it to Hunny, who pooh-poohs it and Willy ignores it.

The rating was right there in HFD and these bashers were fully aware of it.

What Hulbert did was to measure the relative success of various market timers, NOT the performance of relative portfolios. Brinker came out way on top and the bashers just can't handle that fact even though it's right there in front of them.

The Marketimer stock market timing model applied to the Wilshire 5000 Index has generated a compound annual rate of return of 14.2% for the past ten years, versus 9.1% for the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index.

Clearly this is an accurate way to measure market timing ability and Brinker is ranked Number One. In other words, by following Brinker's timing calls, regardless of what your portfolio contained, you would have been far ahead of the buy-and-hope bashers.

Mark Hulbert is officially agnostic regarding market timing, but he acknowledges that statistics prove a handful of people can do it successfully and that a few do it better than most.

Bob Brinker is one of the few.
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