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Technology Stocks : ASML Holding NV
ASML 1,056+1.9%Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: niek who wrote (1171)7/26/2006 2:28:51 PM
From: niek  Read Replies (1) of 42746
 
Who's going to produce all these NAND flashes?
Samsung alone?
I don’t think so.

I presume that within three to five years the NAND prices have declined sufficiently to replace a hard disk completely.
I made some calculations.
Suppose that the complete production in 2006 from all hard disks all over the world will be replaced bij NAND flashes, the chipcompanies will need at least 165 complete new 300-mm fab’s, only to produce these NAND flashes.

In that sense Mr. Simpson is right when he says that things are getting even more unstable.
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