SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (67043)7/29/2006 1:37:23 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
Thanks
Too bad it does not go back to 1980

Nonetheless I see little correlation between that chart and the price of gold.

I see no correlation whatsoever between the price of gold and the 30 yr long bond since 1980.

since gold is not is not tracking those what is it tracking?

The only thing that I can see that it is tracking is the K-Cycle that suggests gold will get smashed in disinflation (which we had for 20 years or so), then rally into deflation. Of course we have not have deflation yet, but we did have one doozie of a "false spring".

Gold did respond to the liquidity surge (interest rates cut to 1%) but so did everything else. One can not cherry pick the last 3 years ignoring 23 years and say there is some sort of corelation between gold and treasuries or "inflation expectations".

Mish
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext