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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Lane3 who wrote (25497)	7/30/2006 11:12:17 AM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) of 541698

So what do they want now that is workable? If I understand your post, the "they" in that sentence encompasses Arafat's old group, Hamas, and Hezbollah, with a little Syria and Iran thrown in. My knowledge of all this is something beyond limited. However, my take at the moment is that conflict is endemic in this part of the ME, with ebbs and flows for a variety of nonrandom reasons. That conflict was reasonably containable so long as the US was seen as a damaged but believable mediator and there was something resembling a faint hope of a "peace process" in place, however unrealistic. With both gone, there are no ways I can see to contain the conflict. For instance, Hezbollah's incursion looked to me as if it were something that had it occurred within the previous frameworks, could have been, after some sturm und drang, negotiated. That doesn't look possible in the present. Perhaps the Europeans and some of the Arab governments have the requisite mediator perch and leverage ability to make something work. I suspect not and that's why I think the prospects for contained conflict are extremely weak at the moment.

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