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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (193911)7/31/2006 2:01:14 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Hi Nadine Carroll; Re: "Hizbullah has dug hundreds of bunkers ... Why ... Why ... if ... why ... why ..."

Great questions but they miss the point. The point is that Israel has been forced by international opinion to stop bombing southern Lebanon. You can blame it on the heartlessness of Hezbollah if you want. I would think that Bush was who made the Israelis stop, or maybe international opinion, so the blame should be placed there, not on Hezbollah. Hezbollah is just using the media as a part of their campaign against Israel. This should not come as a surprise.

On the other hand, this brings up another possibility for ending the conflict: Announce that because of your humanitarian concerns, you're not going to push ahead to victory. And while this "victory" is proclaimed, the country continues to get pelted with Hezbollah rockets. Only a center left guy like Olmert could come up with that sort of an idea.

In Israel's case it's a bit hollow since they have never enjoyed a true victory in the sense that the US was victorious in the second world war. One doubts that it is possible for a tiny country like Israel to demand the unconditional surrender of its far more numerous enemies. This gets back to that old statement about how Israel must win ALL their wars, the Arabs need win only once.

I still don't see how Israel is going to avoid a full scale invasion of Lebanon. Maybe the government will have to fall first, but I expect to eventually see them do a significant call up of the reserves. The alternative seems unimaginable.

-- Carl
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