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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: yaetmo who wrote (23119)8/5/2006 7:40:44 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
You are correct!

I believe a caller cornered him with a question about how he voted in the II survey. I think the caller prefaced it by saying Bob used to say all those who voted "correction" were "clueless" so Bob had to say Bull or Bear. Bob said in a lowered voice that he voted as a bear. Up until then, Bob was not talking about how he was a member of the unwashed "wishy washie" 60:40 club.

"The Marketimer stock market timing model remains cautious as the second quarter gets underway."
Robert Brinker - April 2000 issue of “Marketimer”

It would be interesting to read old MTs to see when he first started to say his model was "bearish" rather than "cautious." I bet the market was already down quite a bit.

FWIW, I think he is lying now when he says his model went bearish in January 2000. Clearly in April 2000 he said it was cautious, not bearish. I believe his model NEVER went bearish because the bear market was really a correction in the over valued large cap stocks while the broader market actually bottomed in 1998. His 5 root causes for a bear market said "BEAR" but his model was still only cautious hence we got the 60:40 call.
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