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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who wrote (67918)8/10/2006 11:04:52 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
I'd estimate that credit is actually expanding about 3 times government printing, and has been the whole time we've had this discussion. It's even shocked me (as an inflationist) I have to admit. The global Pig Men have taken over "money" creation, the CB are secondary bystanders, and truly only "men behind the curtain".

Russ, I do not disagree.
But look at Lend, CFC, etc etc.
They are having a difficult time shoving more credit down peoples throats and bankruptcies are rising. That is a very deflationary environment if it continues. Bankruptcies is a wipeoff of credit.

We also have the situation where banks are continuing to lend to homebuilders because if they stop, homebuilders will go bankrupt. Tossing good money after bad? I think so. More money will go up in smoke.

Watch what happens when all these real estate agents can not pay their bills. 1 out of 55 working age adults in California is a real estate agent.

What do you think that will do to bankruptcies?
Everyone, here and everywhere else too, only looks at the govt printing. One can not overlook bankruptcies or decreased appetite for credit. The latter are far more important.

Mish
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