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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 55.11-2.6%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: dr.praveen who wrote (20801)8/10/2006 4:05:23 PM
From: rkrw  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
I think the market has a tough time valuing them. The market has a tough time valuing biotechs in general especially before they make a positive eps. Factor in a company wildly ambitious like exel, with the confusing to some gsk relationship, the Symphony Capital arrangement and it's a mess.

What do they have 12 drugs in the clinic and by next year 15? I think they're undervalued, definitely when looking at the long term, but when they're going to continue to lose huge amounts of money for the foreseeable future I don't think there will be any rush to buy the stock until some of the 15 shows super compelling data. I think they'll have their day in the sun just not sure it will be this year :-)

As an alternative to exel, I like arry, a little more contained development, i.e a couple new ind's per year versus 5-6, a lot simpler capital structure to understand and most important some targeted cancer drugs that could be of great value, in particular a fast follower to gsk's tykerb.
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