Sabato on Senate: centerforpolitics.org
SENATE: That Sixth-Seat Itch (Currently 55 R, 44 D, 1 I/D)
Probable D Senate pick-ups: Pennsylvania, Montana
Leaning D Senate pick-ups: Missouri, Rhode Island, Ohio
The "Sixth Seat" needed to switch the Senate to D control, in order of probability: Tennessee, Arizona, Virginia (all currently R favored, though Tennessee is the most competitive)
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D Open Seats Leaning D: Maryland, Minnesota, Vermont
D Open Seats Leaning R: None
R Open Seats Leaning R: Tennessee
R Open Seats Leaning D: None
[Note: We have not listed Connecticut because the only two likely winners are Democratic nominee Ned Lamont and Senator Joe Lieberman, who--despite running now as an Indep endent--says he will still caucus as a Democrat. Republican nominee Alan Schlesinger is a weak candidate and is not a competitor, therefore this seat will effectively remain in Democratic hands whether Lamont of Lieberman wins.] |