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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (197359)8/14/2006 6:42:38 PM
From: jttmab  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
But that is never enough for Israel because Nasrallah can claim "victory" because he's still alive and fighting.

All Olmert it claiming is that Hezbollah's capability has been signficantly reduced, but the details haven't been released. Since Olmert hasn't released the details, how are you in any position to claim a successful operation?

Israelis are looking at ~250 rockets launched by Hezbollah in the last hours before the truce [or whatever the proper word is]. You can claim that Israel destroyed the long or medium range missiles; Olmert can claim it, but no one [the public] has seen any long or medium range missiles destroyed. All they know is that Hezbollah launched more missiles on the last day than on any other day during the conflict. That's not good.

From the spin side, you can't possibly think that Olmert would stand up and say, "Sorry folks, things didn't work out this time. Hezbollah is still there, they'll re-arm and we'll have to do this all over again. But it seemed like a good idea at the time." Of course he'll say that Hezbollah's capabilities were trashed. He's not completely stupid.

One thing we are fairly certain of is that Israeli intellligence failed to correctly assess what Hezbollah had. Did that assessment get better during the conflict? Highly unlikely. They most certainly bombed places where they thought there were missiles, maybe they were there, maybe not.

jttmab
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