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Technology Stocks : Information Architects (IARC): E-Commerce & EIP

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To: Richard Haugland who wrote (2594)9/25/1997 7:32:00 AM
From: tech   of 10786
 
Analysis of ALYD as of close 9/24

The upper Bollinger band is a 26 19/32 while the lower band is at 20 11/32 . We Broke through and closed below the lower band. This by itself is a bearish signal that a downtrend is in place. If prices rise and we break back across the lower band at 20 11/32 it could indicate the beginning of a bullish trend reversal.

We also broke through support at 19 7/8 and closed near this line. If prices continue to drop, the next support should be felt at about 18 1/2. If we break through this line, then we could go down to about 17 1/4.

On a brighter note, the price has reached a 21 day low accompanied by a positive Volume Accumulation Percentage. This is a bullish non-confirmation which often indicates a price reversal to the upside. The accumulation indicates that at these prices demand exists which could cause a price increase.

It seems that we may be near the bottom of this downtrend and prices may start to reverse and head higher. If we break back across the lower Bollinger band at 20 11/32, then the next resistance would be felt first at the 9day, 28day and then the 49day moving averages.

9day = 22 3/16

28day = 23 5/8

49day = 24 3/8

If prices move back across the 49day moving avg., then the next resistance would be near the upper Bollinger band at 26 19/32, followed by the 21day high which is at 26 3/4.

If you are a diehard long on ALYD, then I would buy at these prices.

If you feel that the stock is still headed lower, then I would watch to see if ALYD crosses and/or closes at or near the next resistance level at 18 1/2. If this happens, the stock may nose dive another 1 1/2 to 2 points.

If you want to play it strictly on T/A, then wait until the price crosses back across the lower Bollinger band before you buy. Keep an eye on the upward resistance and as ALYD approaches each resistance level, be ready to sell if it looks like it is having trouble breaking through. If ALYD passes back across the 49day MA, then look to take profits as the price approaches the upper Bollinger band or the 21day high.
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