Here is a forecast for the House:
mydd.com
Excerpts (via KOS):
I currently project Democrats to take 15-25 seats, which would give them a narrow majority of between 218-228 seats. I am a little worried that in the final decisions I was too optimistic by a tier in a few races (FL-16, ID-01, IL-06, NY-24, OH-01, OH-02, PA-07, PA-08, TX-17 and WA-08) and too pessimistic by a tier in others (FL-13, IN-02, NY-20 and WV-01). Overall I think it is a very good forecast even if, perhaps, very slightly too optimistic.
What I am not worried about is competition. The sheer amount of information I offer in this forecast easily surpasses anything publicly available anywhere in the nation. In this forecast, I include the following:
The top 60 House races in the nation, grouped by competitiveness tier.
The names of both the Democratic and Republican candidates in all 60 races.
The relative cash on hand in all 60 races
The partisan voting index for all 60 districts
The 2004 margin in all 60 districts
The latest poll, if any, from all 60 districts
Notifications as to whether each district is an open seat, held by a freshman, has a repeat challenger, or has been targeted for ad buys by the DCCC
Mini-commentary on each district |
