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Pastimes : Let's Talk About the Wars (moderated)
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To: epicure who wrote (245)8/31/2006 8:40:31 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (2) of 441
 
Now here is a question I've been waiting all summer to put to you -- if a more-active-than-average hurricane season is "proof" in favor of global warming, then is a less-active-than-average hurricane season "proof" against global warming?

I argued, months ago, against the first proposition, and am delighted to be in the position to pose the second.

Here it is, the last day of August, 2006, and no hurricane has hit North America -- indeed, the Atlantic hurricane season has so far been a complete bust.

It is true that September remains but if you study the path of September hurricanes, they tend to veer off to the east. But that's all probability and statistics, and it's hard to predict future weather events based on probability and statistics.

But last year the Caribbean and Atlantic were warmer than usual, and this year they are cooler than last year, and that's the bottom line with hurricanes. They feed off warm water, and there's already a touch of fall in the air.
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