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Politics : GOPwinger Lies/Distortions/Omissions/Perversions of Truth

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To: RMF who wrote (77326)9/6/2006 7:19:12 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Read Replies (1) of 173976
 
I'm more of a middle of the road guy, so I'm pretty much hated by everybody.
You gotta DO SOMETHING about that. Pick a side. You're standing in the middle of the road getting hit by traffic in both directions! :-)

I think al Sadr has to go, along with his top people. Sistani is probably the key on that. If I had been in the administration I would have sent some VERY high ranking official to bow and scrape to Sistani from the getgo. That guy is the key to keeping the Shiites in line. Even now they should try and build some relationship with Sistani and see if he'd go for a "wink wink" deal to get rid of al Sadr. It may very well be too late now, since one or more of his lieutenants might be able to just take over.
Maybe. OTOH, we can't spend the next 100 years there.

I KNOW the Kurds would go for a split. That's all they've ever wanted. We'd tell them that the only way they'd get it would be to shut down the PKK in their territory and we'd station troops at the border to make sure they followed up. They'd get control of the Kirkuk oil but only if they give an
appropriate amount to the "other members of the Iraqi Federation".

The Kurds might go for a split, but Turkey wouldn't. They've already got problems with THEIR Kurds and they don't want an independent Kurdistan cut out of Iraq encouraging theirs to revolt and join them.

The Sunnis would get control of Baghdad (after we made life difficult for the Shia there and gave them incentives to move south).
WE don't have to do a thing. The Sunnis would gladly do it for us. :-)

The Shiites would have their own oil and their own autonomy. The Iranians could wield whatever influence they wanted, but we'd keep troops at the border to (assist Pilgrims wishing to worship at Sacred Sites).
OIL is likely to be THE problem. Splitting the revenues from that is going to be a B***H!

That's the best and most pragmatic answer I can see to this Iraqi mess. Bush is kind of a simplistic moron when it comes to diplomacy so I figure what will actually happen is we'll just keep going along as we have and eventually the country will get tired of the morass and we'll just pull our troops out and it will be a total mess with Al Queda in Anbar and the Turks coming in from the north and Iran coming in and a WHOLE BUNCH of PEOPLE DYING and oil going to $100 bucks.
The oil revenue problem has to be solved. The other states won't accept a 75% fall in their standard of living and might not even be viable.
Bush could definitely use an elocution class.
Iran will be a problem regardless UNLESS outside powers guarantee Iraq's borders. Turkey can probably be talked into seeing reason.

Oh, CNBC said gas will go to $1 a gallon again. :-)
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