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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (69484)9/7/2006 8:34:07 PM
From: YanivBA  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
Sure. I am not calling for a change of trend. If I was I would buy. Just a painful correction. And not even that. This is just a heads up. The problems of the real estate have become common knowledge. There would be plenty of traders that think it is all factored into the price.

I also want to note that the Business Week article indicates a general assumption that the financial sector is safe. This is somewhat bearish for them.

Quoting:
most of the pain will be borne by ordinary people, not the lenders, brokers, or financiers who created the problem.

Yet the banking system has insulated itself reasonably well from the thousands of personal catastrophes to come.

Even the loans that blow up can be hidden with fancy bookkeeping. David Hendler of New York-based CreditSights, a bond research shop, predicts that banks in coming quarters will increasingly move weak loans into so-called held-for-sale accounts. There the loans will sit, sequestered from the rest of the portfolio, until they're sold to collection agencies or to investors.


What what and what?

Message 22790633

YanivBA.
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