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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout
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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (2374)9/17/2006 3:29:59 PM
From: Night Trader   of 50730
 
What most people don't realize about Shiller was that he was pessimistic on the US stock market from at least the early 90s - a low dividend yield was his rationale then. As luck would have it his book came out right at the top but he has no special timing abilities. The book does a good job of collating the excesses of valuation that had been present for some years but did not "predict" the bear market any more than a book on storm strengthening your house predicts a hurricane.

The current hero worship of a middling - if focused - researcher I find a little bizarre.
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